Arminius

Too young to remember Carter, but I can't possibly see how he had a worse record than Hillary. She already did a Nixon with those emails.

I'm certainly open to the possibility that he's a unique enough candidate from outside the establishment that turnout of various groups could be unpredictable.  What I have trouble believing is that any such unpredictable bump would overcome all those negatives plus the massive trouble he's in with women and minorities.  He would need quite the surge of angry white guys to overcome the hole he finds himself in.  But there's still two months...

You're forgetting that unpredictability applies to every level. There's no way of knowing for sure how big these bumps actually are. With a controversial candidate like Trump they might be significant. Lots of people don't like to admit they're going for him, and you can hardly blame them with how the media are doing their best to portray him as a literal love child of Adolf Hitler and Bozo the Clown.

It becomes especially relevant when you consider the fact that the experts completely failed to predict his nomination as candidate just months ago.

Trump could use some acting skills. 

His lack of slick is part of the appeal I think.

We'll see in a few months. I don't think any polling formula can predict unexpected events. Not being able to see a choice you don't understand and all that.

Trump isn't Reagan...and polling is much better than it used to be.

True that. Reagan was just an actor.

In panic, for a Star Wars movie! If the prequels showed us anything it was that the SW brand can make boatloads of cash even if your movie is hated.

Demanding a high standard? After TFA? Surely they're having a laugh.

A deconstructive society will deconstruct. People think you can just remove cornerstones in society and there won't be any negative effects. They are wrong. 

All of that is interesting but may not be a thing. If it is Trump vs. Hillary (not very much liked herself), he just needs to convince 51% of voters he is one iota more likable than her.

So far Trump has been best when he's facing an opponent. If it gets down to him and Hillary opinions can change fast. To do that though he needs the nomination, and it looks like he'll need a majority to get it. He must steady the ship quickly. No doubt this day of silence from him is being used to prepare strategies.

All the more reason for a skills based immigration policy.  Bring them in to go to your schools, keep the smart ones to start businesses.  Why bring in a bunch of people to just be unemployed? 

Because business want unskilled labor and politicians want cheap votes. The media too for some reason seem to want it, though that one is harder to explain. They are the ones deciding policy. Not logic, not the people.

Supreme campaigned in the New Hampshire Republican primary in 2008. He received 41 votes (0.02%) in the New Hampshire primary. According to the Federal Election Commission (FEC), he also received 43 votes, nationally, in the general election.

 

^ You're going to "love" this:

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They threw the kitchen sink at him on that Fox debate 2 days ago. It's very revealing, shows there isn't really a republican or democratic side, but an establishment one. Fox has been raging on about immigration and obamacare for years and years, and when a candidate with the support to do something finally arrives, they flay him.

Yes, but the question is: What happens when an unstoppable asshat meets an immovable harpy?

Time Magazine online poll on who won the debate....

 

Rubio 20%

Cruz 4%

Kasich 5%

trump 69%

Carson 2%

 

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The media is acting like Rubio crushed Trump because he got in a few jabs. No doubt they are replaying a few select clips over and over to reinforce that view.

I watched the whole debate and Trump was deflecting attacks left and right. Cruz in particular got demolished. Him and Rubio both came off as lesser men trying to gang up on the frontrunner. Those poll numbers show I'm not the only one who thought so. Trump actually managed to look like the more serious candidate among them.

I'd say any effort to circumvent and/or replace secular law with something like Sharia would automatically be a major problem in any Western state.

Only for as long as there are westerners living in that state. Who is going to stop them when they reach 30-40% and beyond? It's a democracy after all.

With the current demographic trend there will be no "western countries" in 2100.

Trillary

 

What has been seen can not be unseen.